''' JOBS? -JOBLESSNESS- JOBS! '''
*WE DO NOT LIVE TO THINK, but, on the contrary, we think in order we may succeed in surviving*.
Very True! The above quote is from Jose Ortega Y Gasset.
ONE LATEST REPORT suggests that two-thirds of all jobs in the
developing world are at a risk of being lost through automation.
It is many times worth repeating that Automation and Robots have led to much of gloom in industrialised economies.
At
the beginning of this century the US employed over 15 million people
in the manufacturing sector. In the 17 years since, the country has lost
close 3 million manufacturing jobs-
While manufacturing output has increased by almost 30 per cent.
This has transpired during the period in which the US underwent its worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.
New research by Daron Acemogle of M.I.T. and Pascual Restrepo of Boston University concludes that there are ''large and negative effects of robots on employment and wages'' and-
That
the adoption of a robot for every 1,000 workers decreased
employment by 6.2 workers and wages by 0.7 per cent in the US.
These
industrial robots have destroyed jobs in sectors that have
traditionally created millions of blue-collar jobs such as the
manufacturing of cars, electronics, metals, plastics and chemicals.
Economies that have not yet become fully industrialised are also undergoing similar changes .
China's
manufacturing base is rapidly evolving and the country has purchased
more than 25 per cent of the 248,000 industrial robot units sold
around the world in 2015.
Foxconn,
a company that manufactures core components for Apple in China and
employs an army of workers, recently replaced over 60,000 workers with
robots in a single factory.
While industrial
economies are already losing jobs, the risks to developing economies is far greater : a World bank report suggests that two-thirds of all jobs
in the developing world are at risk of being lost through automation.
This
is because developed economies have wealth, institutions capable
of implementing forward-looking policies, and a historic record of
successfully dealing with industrial revolution of the past.
For emerging economies, the risks, if they materialise, can upend the economic and social gains they have made in recent years.
A number of emerging economies witnessed high levels of growth by utilising their cheap labour to manufacture goods for the rest of the world..
The expectation was that these economies would follow a growth trajectory similar to that followed followed by industrialised economies.
As millions of people are put to work to manufacture exports, countries would fully realise their demographic dividend.
Exports oriented industrialisation would increase incomes and wealth, thereby increasing consumption expenditure in the economy.
Ultimately the country would transition to a consumer and service oriented economy.
A
country like South Korea was the blueprint for this type of growth, and
China is, in many ways, undergoing a similar evolution.
Technologies
of the Fourth Industrial Revolution have the potential to make this
development model defunct before most of the benefits are realised by the rest of the world.
While
industrial robots are already replacing blue-collar workers, automation
through artificial intelligence is beginning to replace service sector
jobs as well.
A report discussed at Davos suggested that over 5 million mostly white-collar jobs will be destroyed by this revolution and in 15 industrialised and developing economies by 2020. JPMorgan Chase & Co, for example, recently deployed a programme called-
COIN
which automated 360,000 hours of work conducted by lawyers every year
to review and interpret commercial loan agreements.
These
technological advances could also eliminate the benefits of
wage-arbitrage that attracted manufacturing companies to developing
economies where labour was relatively cheaper.
As
industrial robots become ever-cheaper and advances in material sciences
enable 3-D printing of products, companies would not stand to gain as
much by moving their manufacturing to developing economies.
In fact, they would be attracted to setting up manufacturing in industrialised economies due to the availability skilled labour capable of using these technologies.
If
developing economies are to grow, they must implement policies that
equip people with the skills required to develop new technologies.
Basic
reading and writing skills will not be enough : the workforce of the
fourth industrial revolution must know how to read and write computer
and code and work in conjunction with sophisticated hardware and
software.
The Fourth Industrial Revolution is
like a bullet train coming it is up to policymakers to prepare and
enable the masses to either get on board or risk being a casualty in its
path.
And to revisit and honor and sum Jawed Naqvi from Delhi, India : ''it is worrying that Indian Marxists, like their comrades elsewhere, are a threatened species.
The BJP is out to swallow their two remaining hubs.
It
is worrying that the main Marxist groups - and not to forget the
Congress - seem to believe that the threat posed to India's democracy
by the BJP is comparable with Mamata Bannerjee's rule in Bengal and Arvind Kejrwal's in Delhi/
Could Chandan Kamble be right?''
With
respectful dedication to the Students, Professors and Teachers of the
World See Ya all on !WOW! -the World Students Society
and................ Twitter-!E-WOW! -the Ecosystem 2011:
''' Wakeup Calls '''
Good Night and God Bless
SAM Daily Times - the Voice of the Voiceless
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